Signal Track Record
Every signal is logged when issued and auto-closed after its tier's holding period (HIGH 10d / MEDIUM 5d / LOW 3d). Bearish signals are scored on the inverse price move. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Track-record performance
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-12 · 24 closed signalsIllustrative: one equal-weight unit per closed signal, compounded in close order (base 100). Direction-adjusted. Research track record, not a live traded account — past performance does not predict future results.
25
Closed signals
59
Open signals
60%
Win rate
+3.66%
Avg return (closed)
Backtest validation
Last validated 2026-06-16 over 132 signals (5-day hold): win rate 63%, average return +2.21%, alpha vs S&P 500 +1.68% (95% CI -0.04 to 3.4).
We publish the confidence interval on purpose: with this sample size, an interval spanning zero means the edge is not yet statistically established. We'd rather earn your trust than overstate it.
Backtest alpha by signal direction
Bullish and bearish signals behave very differently, so we validate them separately rather than reporting a single blended number.
ALL
+1.68%
alpha vs S&P · n=132
95% CI -0.04 to 3.4
BULLISH
+5.06%
alpha vs S&P · n=60
95% CI 2.92 to 7.52
BEARISH
-1.05%
alpha vs S&P · n=73
95% CI -3.46 to 1.26
| Ticker | Tier | Direction | Entry date | Entry | Last / Exit | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-06-11 | $362.62 | $359.68 | -0.81% | OPEN |
| AMZN | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-06-10 | $237.93 | $238.55 | +0.26% | OPEN |
| PLTR | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-06-09 | $129.32 | $127.99 | -1.03% | OPEN |
| NVDA | HIGH | BEARISH | 2026-06-09 | $204.43 | $205.19 | -0.37% | OPEN |
| NVDA | HIGH | BEARISH | 2026-06-09 | $140.50 | $205.19 | -46.04% | OPEN |
| GOOGL | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-06-09 | $363.19 | $359.68 | +0.97% | OPEN |
| GOOGL | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-06-09 | $363.19 | $359.68 | +0.97% | OPEN |
| GOOGL | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-06-09 | $363.19 | $359.68 | +0.97% | OPEN |
| MSFT | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-06-09 | $398.55 | $390.74 | +1.96% | OPEN |
| NVDA | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-06-05 | $210.18 | $200.42 | +4.64% | CLOSED |
| SNOW | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-06-03 | $244.30 | $232.78 | -4.72% | OPEN |
| AMZN | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-06-03 | $253.12 | $245.22 | +3.12% | CLOSED |
| AVGO | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-06-03 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| INTC | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-06-02 | $116.42 | $110.27 | +5.28% | CLOSED |
| SNAP | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-06-02 | $5.69 | $5.65 | +0.70% | CLOSED |
| PLTR | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-06-02 | $149.70 | $136.47 | +8.84% | CLOSED |
| SNOW | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-06-01 | $265.45 | $238.37 | -10.20% | CLOSED |
| MSFT | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-06-01 | $446.88 | $411.74 | +7.86% | CLOSED |
| SNOW | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-06-01 | $265.45 | $238.37 | -10.20% | CLOSED |
| SNOW | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-05-29 | $259.97 | $240.45 | -7.51% | CLOSED |
| NVDA | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-05-29 | $215.48 | $214.50 | +0.45% | CLOSED |
| SNOW | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-05-28 | $240.69 | $261.14 | -8.50% | CLOSED |
| SNOW | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-05-28 | $240.69 | $240.45 | -0.10% | CLOSED |
| MRVL | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-05-27 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AMZN | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-05-26 | $266.15 | $261.26 | +1.84% | CLOSED |
| AMD | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-05-22 | $484.74 | $495.54 | -2.23% | CLOSED |
| AMD | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-05-22 | $484.74 | $510.13 | +5.24% | CLOSED |
| SNOW | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-05-20 | $164.03 | $280.16 | +70.80% | CLOSED |
| SNAP | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-05-20 | $5.54 | $5.75 | -3.79% | CLOSED |
| AMD | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-05-20 | $441.99 | $510.13 | +15.42% | CLOSED |
| NVDA | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-05-20 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AMD | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-05-19 | $428.04 | $503.89 | -17.72% | CLOSED |
| AMZN | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-05-19 | $260.05 | $265.29 | -2.02% | CLOSED |
| PLTR | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-05-19 | $134.15 | $136.60 | -1.83% | CLOSED |
| AMD | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-05-19 | $428.04 | $516.10 | +20.57% | CLOSED |
| LIFE | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-05-18 | $20.81 | $19.30 | +7.26% | CLOSED |
| MSFT | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-05-18 | $428.97 | $416.03 | +3.02% | CLOSED |
| TSLA | MEDIUM | BEARISH | 2026-05-15 | $419.27 | $417.26 | +0.48% | CLOSED |
| INTC | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-05-15 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AMD | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-05-15 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AMAT | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-05-14 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| NVDA | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-05-08 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AMD | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-05-05 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| INTC | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-04-30 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| QCOM | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-04-29 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| NVDA | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-04-27 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| INTC | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-04-24 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| INTC | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-04-23 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| LRCX | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-04-22 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AVGO | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-04-21 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| MRVL | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-04-15 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| INTC | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-04-08 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AVGO | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-04-06 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| INTC | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-04-03 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AVGO | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-04-02 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| MU | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-04-01 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| MRVL | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-03-31 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| MU | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-03-25 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| MRVL | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-03-19 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| MRVL | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-03-19 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| QCOM | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-03-19 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| NVDA | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-03-06 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| MRVL | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-03-05 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AVGO | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-03-04 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| INTC | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-03-03 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AVGO | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-03-02 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| NVDA | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-02-25 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AMD | HIGH | BULLISH | 2026-02-24 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| MRVL | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-02-18 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AMD | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-02-17 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| MRVL | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-02-06 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| QCOM | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-02-04 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| LRCX | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-02-03 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AMD | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-02-03 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| LRCX | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-01-28 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| INTC | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-01-23 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| NVDA | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-01-23 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| INTC | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-01-22 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| MU | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-01-21 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AMD | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-01-20 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| QCOM | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-01-16 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| AVGO | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2026-01-13 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| INTC | HIGH | BULLISH | 2025-12-29 | — | — | — | OPEN |
| MU | MEDIUM | BULLISH | 2025-12-17 | — | — | — | OPEN |